| Headlines |
Topic
of the Month |
- The
war in Lebanon. Analysis after the first week
|
The
peacekeeping mission in Lebanon
On the
‘Muddle East’ scene, the latest news is that a
multinational force is being deployed in the south of Lebanon
under the insignia of the United Nations and the terms of
UNSC resolution 1701 [1]. The weeks leading to the launch
of UNIFIL 2 – named after the UNIFIL mission of 1978
- were characterised by reservations concerning the mandate
of mission, considered ambiguous, and by a diffuse misreading
of the role of peacekeepers.
|
| The
mandate
As for the alleged volatility of the mission’s mandate,
UNSC 1701 asks in substance to UNIFIL 2 to provide the security
conditions necessary to ensure a transaction to normality
following the July/August 2006 crisis. In details par.11 of
UN Resolution 1701 states that the mission will ‘(a)
monitor the cessation of hostilities; (b) accompany and support
the Lebanese armed forces as they deploy throughout the South
[in coordination with the governments of Lebanon and Israel],
(c) extend its assistance to help ensure humanitarian access
to civilian populations and the voluntary and safe return
of displaced persons, (d) assist the Lebanese armed forces
in taking steps towards the establishment of the area between
the Blue Line and the Litani river free of any armed personnel,
assets and weapons other than those of the Government of Lebanon
and of UNIFIL; (e) assist the Government of Lebanon, at its
request, to secure its borders and other entry points to prevent
the entry in Lebanon without its consent of arms or related
materiel[2]. To discharge its duties, furthermore, UNIFIL
is authorised ‘to take all necessary action in areas
of deployment of its forces’ and also ‘to protect
[Lebanese] civilians under imminent threat of physical violence’.
This last sentence, in particular, seems to give wide discretion
to the PKs, which will be, in principle, able to use the force
against whomever threatens the civilian population, be it
black or white. Overall, therefore, and although some ambiguities
remain in the wording, the mandate of the resolution is altogether
clear: security and control of the territory, interposition,
and support to the Lebanese government in the pursuit of disarmament[3].
About
Peacekeeping
Beyond
the content of the mandate, the reservations on the peacekeeping
mission in Lebanon appeared to stem from a common misreading
of what a peacekeeping mission actually is, and what results
can be reasonably expected from it and which not. The term
‘peacekeeping’ refers to a situation in which
the warring parties halt the fighting and agree on the intervention
of a neutral third party acting as force of interposition[4].
The peacekeepers’ role is limited to making sure that
de minimis conditions – in primis a halt to hostilities
– are kept and that the situation does not go back to
square one[5]. However, once the peacekeeping mission is deployed,
it is up to the diplomacy, and to the parties involved in
the conflict, to address the root causes of the conflict and
to work out a durable settlement of it.
Past
experience
Past experience
tells us that, on one hand, the success or the failure of
peacekeeping missions largely depends on the restraint put
on politics to interfere with the fulfilment of the peacekeeping
mandate; on the other hand, the attainment of a conflict’s
solution is very much dependent on the ability of politics
to follow up to the peacekeeping mission with appropriate
political solutions. Out of 60 missions carried out since
1948 to date, recalls Prof. Rufini, Course Coordinator at
the Institute for International Politics Studies in "La
Sapienza" University in Rome and the Bocconi University
in Milan, failures have been less than ten. Among them, in
Somalia in 1993, the United States, ignoring the terms of
the UNSC mandate, turned the peacekeeping intervention into
a full scale conflict, becoming part of it; in Rwanda in 1994,
France and United States held back the action of General Dellaire’s
troops which could have prevented the genocide; in Yugoslavia
in 1995, it was the veto of Russia which rendered UN troops
impotent to protect with the use of force the life of civilians.
Instead, when peacekeepers could work according to the guidelines
of the mandate, they proved quite effective[6]. If, afterwards,
hostilities broke out again, this was due to the incapacity
of diplomacy and politics to work out sustainable political
solutions to the crisis.
Unapplied
provisions of the UN Charter
Eventually,
it is worth noting that there is an entire chapter of the
UN Charter which provides that the UN shall have its own army
and a Military Staff Committee to command it[7]. It has never
been put into practice. Instead, when an international consensus
is reached about organising a mission, the Secretary General
must beg for troops around the world, make them up in a puzzle,
seal it and deliver it. Once the packaging is complete, the
peacekeeping troops and the UN Secretary General remain subject,
notwithstanding the Brahimi reform which rendered the decision
making process smoother, to the vetoes of the UN Security
Council’s permanent members, who can influence at will
the conduct of the mission .
[1]
http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2006/sc8808.doc.htm The
resolution calls for ‘the immediate cessation by Hizbollah
of all attacks and the immediate cessation by Israel of all
offensive military operations’ A consensus was reached
among the permanent members of the UN Security Council to
give mandate to ‘up to 15,000 United Nations peacekeepers
[to] help[ing] Lebanese troops take control of the area […]
between the United Nations-drawn Blue Line in southern Lebanon
and the Litani River (12 miles from the Israeli border)’
[2]
UNSC resolution 1701, par. 11.
[3] A map of UNIFIL deployment as of July 2006 can be found
at http://www.un.org/Depts/Cartographic/map/dpko/unifil.pdf;
see also UNIFIL - UN official mandate at http://www.un.org/Depts/dpko/missions/unifil/mandate.html
[4] Peace enforcement instead entails the international community’s
initiative to forcefully bring a conflict to an end. Peace
enforcement missions were launched by the UN only two times,
in Korea (1950) and in the Gulf War (1991).
[5] Welcoming the resolution ahead of the Council’s
adoption Kofi Annan, United Nations Secretary-General said
he was greatly relieved that it provided for a full and immediate
cessation of all hostilities. “It is absolutely vital
that the fighting now stop”, he said, adding: “Provided
it does, I believe this resolution will make it possible to
conclude a sustainable and lasting ceasefire agreement in
the days ahead. And, I hope that this could be the beginning
of a process to solve the underlying political problems in
the region through peaceful means.”
[6] The first success of the peacekeepers dates back to 1956
Suez war, when the PKs successfully managed to keep peace
between Egypt and the UK-France-Israel alliance; the latest
success is recorded in Burundi, in 2004, when the PKs succeeded
in keeping peace in one of the most politically volatile African
states.
[7] See articles 43 and 47 Un Charter, http://www.un.org/aboutun/charter/
[8] http://www.un.org/peace/reports/peace_operations/
[9] For an comprehensive analysis and critics, see R.A. Falk,
Reflections on the Gulf War Experience : Force and war in
the United Nations System, Juridisk Tidskrift, 3 (1991).
|
| The
war in Lebanon. An Analysis
|
| Israel’s
will, Lebanese weakness, Arab states’ tacit approval
and international consensus made the conditions ripe for a
full scale Israeli war on Lebanon
On 12 July 2006, Hezbollah, the Shia armed group based in
the south of Lebanon, launched a military operation against
Israel. In the attack, two Israeli soldiers were abducted
and seven were killed[1] . Israel, which said it considered
the assault/abduction an act of war, swiftly responded initiating
operation ‘Just Reward’, massively bombing areas
in the south of the country and also in Beirut, the capital
of the Levantine state. Hezbollah’s counter reaction,
the launching of rockets into some northern Israeli cities
including Haifa, prompted Israel to unfold a full scale war,
the sixth one in the history of the fifty-eight year old Israeli
– Arab conflict [2].
To
disband Hezbollah, Israel is adopting two strategies aimed
respectively at compelling the Lebanese government to disarm
Hezbollah and deploying its army on the Israeli border, and
at wiping out Hezbollah’s military ability. To achieve
the former, the Israeli army is meticulously targeting Lebanon’s
infrastructure, hoping that this will raise a tide of popular
anger against Hezbollah for igniting Israel’s ferocious
reaction. To tear Hezbollah’s military machine down,
the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) are heavily shelling the
villages of southern Lebanon, where Hezbollah’s arms
stocks, rocket launchers and headquarters are believed to
be located. In both cases, civilian costs are calculated as,
yet lamentable, consequences of the attack’s general
goals.
The
situation at the international level has arguably favoured
Israel’s decision to wage such full scale, massive war
against Lebanon. Inside Lebanon, the disarmament of Hezbollah
has been on the political agenda for the last two years, spurring
tensions among the Lebanese public. At best, Israel thought,
the Lebanese government would blame the attack on Hezbollah
and confront it openly; if not, Israel could plausibly expect
that long established sectarian divisions within the country
and the recent UN inspired debate on the role of Hezbollah[3]
would prevent the creation of a compact front behind the Shia
group.
As
for Hezbollah themselves, Lebanese analysts are inclined to
believe that the Shia leadership miscalculated the extent
of Israel’s reaction. Arguably, Hezbollah expected that
after bombing some positions in the south, Israel would sit
down and negotiate the release of the abducted soldiers[4]
. Israel thought otherwise and opted to make the most out
of the incumbent conditions.
The
Jewish state upheld that the Arab world or, more appropriately,
Arab leadership would not launch outraged protests against
a major Israeli attack on Hezbollah. In the aftermath of the
kidnapping of the Israeli soldiers, regional powers such as
Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia in fact officially blamed Hezbollah’s
initiative, claiming that it was ‘inimical to Lebanese
and Arab interests’[5] . Besides de façade reasons,
such as the defence of the peace process, the protection of
Arab interests was mainly related to those states’ own
domestic problems, notably the rise of Islamic opposition
movements, and externally to the fear that Iran would increase
its influence in the region through Hezbollah.
At
the international level, it was quite unlikely that a full
fledged attack on Lebanon would generate a split among western
countries like the one that preceded and followed the US invasion
in Iraq. In any case a resolution of the Security Council
condemning Israel would undoubtedly have run into the veto
of the United States, but the main difference with the Iraqi
war is that France, the major opponent to the Iraqi campaign
and strongest advocate of multilateralism then, is now the
co-drafter, with the United States, of UNSC resolution 1559,
a piece of international law of crucial importance to the
current conflict. Adopted in September 2004, UNSC resolution
1559 consists of three points: it calls for the evacuation
of foreign troops from Lebanon – a reference to the
Syrian presence in Lebanon; it calls on the Lebanese government
to deploy its troops on the internationally recognised southern
border with Israel, the so called Blue line; and it calls
for the disarmament of militias, read Hezbollah.
In
the absence of a political consensus inside Lebanon, in the
light of an international consensus embodied in UNSC 1559
calling for the disarmament of Hezbollah and for full Lebanese
sovereignty on the entire Lebanese territory, and provided
that Arab leaders tacitly favoured a military intervention
against Hezbollah, it appears that Israel, the only regional
super power, calculated that the conditions were ripe to rip
down Hezbollah and took action. So far, it has been vindicated.
[1] According to available reports, the combat operation
against Israel led to the death of three Israeli soldiers
and the capture of two. In the course of the Israeli pursuit,
an IDF tank was destroyed and four soldiers died.
[2] In chronological order, 1948, 1956, 1967, 1973 and 1982.
Indeed, one might correctly dispute that the current war is
in fact a war tout court on the grounds that only one of the
warring parties is a state. Hezbollah is in fact considered
a state in the state because it has own militias which are
not integrated in the Lebanese army. Such ‘anomaly’
has always been of greater concern to the state of Israel,
which sees the presence of militias on its northern border
a gruesome threat to its security.
[3] Security Council resolution 1559 (2004) - The situation
in the Middle East, http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N04/498/92/PDF/N0449892.pdf?OpenElement
[4] After the abduction of the IDF soldiers, the group’s
Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah appeared on television
to explain the conditions for the release of the captives,
namely a prisoners’ swamp with Israel. In 2004, a prisoners’
exchange took place with the mediation of Germany.
[5] On Tuesday 18 July 2006, in Cairo, Arab foreign ministers
held an emergency meeting over Israel's expanding assault
on Lebanon. According to Al-Ahram Weekly, the summit witnessed
a division on ‘how far should Arab countries go in criticising
Hezbollah (and Hamas) for what many insisted to call ‘miscalculated
moves’ and how much should they blame Iran for instigating
such moves on the part of Hamas and Hezbollah’. Arab
leaders divided into three camps: Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia,
supported by Morocco, Kuwait and Bahrain, who were very critical;
Syria and Lebanon with had the support of Algeria, Sudan,
Yemen and Qatar; and a third camp made up of countries apparently
indifferent.
|
| A week in
Al-Amari (refugee camp) |
|
While in Jerusalem, I was invited to spend ten days with
a family living in Al-Amari refugee camp, near the city of
Ramallah, West Bank, Palestine. I went there alone and in
a very ‘personal capacity’, introduced to the
family by a friend who took me there and then returned to
the Holy city.
Al-Amari rests a few hundreds meters away from the security
fence and the Israeli checkpoint of Qalandia. The guarded
crossing point separating Ramallah and the West Bank from
the metropolitan district of Jerusalem covers a large area
with parking lots and buildings which make this place look
like a customs between two countries. On its way from Jerusalem
to Ramallah, past the checkpoint, bus number 18 stops just
in front of Al-Amari camp, which lies on the left hand of
the road leading to the centre of the city. There are no signs
indicating its presence.
Just like any refugee camps in Palestine, Al-Amari has gone
from temporary accommodation attached for practical reasons
to the closest urban centre, to permanent suburb connected
to the general urban outfit. As I would later discover, locals
say they live at Al-Amari, Balata, Shuffat, dropping the term
‘refugee camp’ or ‘camp’, somehow
suggesting reception of the idea that what was once a temporary
condition has become and a permanent one; however, the inhabitants
also like to remind where they come from, Lydda or Ramleh
or Jaffa, today Israeli cities, suggesting the resident’s
lasting consciousness that their present condition is the
result of the expulsions from the cities of partitioned Palestine
in 1948. As of today, in Al-Amari there are 7000 people.
Unlike what the term ‘camp’ might suggest, there
are no tents in Al-Amari - as well as in any other refugee
camp in Palestine -, but houses in concrete or bricks. Likewise,
houses are mostly unpainted, a sluggish mass of grey which
makes it easy to instantly recognise a refugee camp from the
distance. Buildings are generally little and maladroit, sprawling
accidentally along the camp’s Main Road, - the ‘avenue’
which tights the camp together - in a dedalus of narrow alleys
and whacked streets.
At the beginning of the Main Road, the U.N.R.W.A. centre
is usually found. Formed by a school, a leisure camp for children
and a few offices, UNRWA centres are administered by Palestinians
employed by the UN as local contractors; they are easily recognisable
by the Punto with bold UN insignia that they drive. Past the
UNRWA centre and along the Main Road, there are houses and
small shops. In Al-Amari there are three groceries, a butcher’s,
three (!) barber’s shops, a tearoom, a one-roomed bubbling
falafel bistrot, two internet points, one billiard room and
a videogames’ one, a mechanic, and a taxi service.
My host, a guy called Adam, owns the taxi service. He lives
with his wife, his parents, his three brothers and wives,
and many gambolling children in a three floored house at the
top of the Main Road. This house was my home for the week
I spent at Al-Amari. Adam’s home is indisputably ruled
by his mother. From a sofa in the living room, Fatima dispenses
orders to the household, women, men and children alike; and
to myself. The cooking, the cleaning, and the healing; the
quarrels, the finances, and the children’s cries; the
marriages, the crisis and the family’s public relations,
all hinge around the authority of this old woman, a refugee
from Haifa and from Gaza, whose advices, orders, and forbids
echoes loud and clear through the pulsating rooms.
Unsurprisingly, Adam, 26, recently-married, and I spend most
of the day outside, at his office. His ‘company’
is formed of Adam himself and two other friends. The office
is made of a single room with a telephone which works but
never rings. In front of it, there is a barber’s shop;
the barber, Ahmed, is a gentle and quite man of 25 and one
of Adam’s best friends.
During the week I stayed in the ‘camp’, I had
two hair cuts. The reason why I had two hair cuts in seven
days is that there is not much to do in Al-Amari. There is
no work to do and no money to spend. And, besides Ramallah,
there is no place to go. What I did was talking, playing with
children, smoking countless cigarettes, drinking coffee after
coffee, tea after tea, marameye after marameye, linger with
people in the street, receive friends, pay visits to friends,
catch any excuse to kill the time. Very soon, I found out
that in a refugee camp there is nothing else to do.
After a couple of days of life in the camp, I spent a full
day in Jerusalem. Prevented to enter the Holy City since 2000
for security reasons, Adam and his friends could not accompany
me; we agreed we would meet up again in the evening. However,
when the time came to go back ‘home’ to Al-Amari,
I reckon I did not want to leave Jerusalem. I knew that friends
and a good meal were waiting for me, but I felt I was under
normal conditions and I just did not want to go back to that
sort of prison. The prospective of another empty day made
me sick.
Dependent as I was on my host and his friends, I was living
inside an envelope, sealed off, suffocating. I could move
freely only inside Ramallah. Wherever else I elected to go
in the West Bank, I needed to cross a military checkpoint;
but according to the colour of the ID my hosts held –
blue, orange, green etc…- , we could go only to certain
areas and cities, south or north of Jerusalem. Jerusalem,
which is 15 minutes away by car, was simply out of the question.
Whatever the business or commerce we wanted to carry out,
the study we wanted to pursue, we needed either the proper
ID card or permissions by the ruling military authority. In
addition, the people I was hanging out with were damn scared
of any checkpoints; many of them, who actually had the right
to cross the checkpoint, refused to do so fearing they could
be arrested for ‘irregularities’ in their documents
or for routine ‘security controls’; others just
could not stand being questioned and searched, and preferred
staying home.
In the lengthy talks I had, Adam and his friends made no
mystery that they hate life in Al-Amari. They all said they
wanted to leave, to go with me to Italy and Europe. ‘We
want our life but there is no way we can get it here. We want
to leave this place. We can’t do anything’. ‘What
would you do if you were in my shoes?’ he asked. What
would I do if I were in Adam’s shoes?
I felt in a prison in Al-Amari and I wanted to leave. I left.
Yes, people were nice, talking was interesting and food was
great, yet the likes of Adam and his friends are just wasting
their best years. Yes, Palestinians are nice, are hospitable,
yet they are painfully unhappy. Their life is long, empty
talks, limitless cigarettes. After a week I grew sick of Al-Amari
and its sickening sights. I could not stand even the thought
that people of my age had spent their youth there, that they’ll
probably spend their life there, and that their children will
grow up in the same anguish.
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